A head to head comparison of the 2022 Arizona Primary gives us an idea of the break down of the voters.

Katie Hobbs received 30.2% (431.1k votes) beating both Kari Lake who had 27.9% (398.9k votes) and Karrin Taylor Robson who had 25.1% (358682 votes) in the overall count of votes in Arizona if the election were among these 3 candidates.

Kari Lake wins 10 counties out of the counties in the state of Arizona to support his claims of his movement in the country. Katie Hobbs won 4 counties and Joe Biden won just 2 counties in the state of Arizona.

These 10 counties play an important role in these primary elections. If a candidate, can get a sizable majority, it becomes very difficult to win majorities in the smaller counties with out voter out reach and increased voter participation in them.

Karrin Taylor Robson vs Kari Lake

Karrin Taylor Robson vs Katie Hobbs

Katie Hobbs vs Kari Lake


In a head to head match up on just the total number of votes, Kari Lake (52.7%) beats Karrin Taylor Robson (47.3%). Katie Hobbs (54.6%) beats Karrin Taylor Robson (45.4%) and Katie Hobbs (51.9%) beats Kari Lake (48.1%).

Katie Hobbs

Kari Lake

Karrin Taylor Robson

Katie Hobbs simply won the majority of the top 10 counties. Kari Lake and Karrin Taylor Robson could not achieve a victory since Katie Hobbs captures so many voters across most counties.