President Obama got 6M 2012, compared to President Trump who got 18M in 2020. Did the Main Stream Media and Five Three Eight, ignored this enthusiam and relied on their polling instead to be suprised again in 2020?
Below is the head to head comparison of the only states where they were primary elections during 2012 and 2020 to give the reader an idea on the enthusiasm based on the how many voters showed up for each of these candidates.
The first suprise, the reader notices is that in 2020 President Trump (2.2M) got 200K more votes than President Obama in California (2M). The second suprise is the margin's he wins the head over head count in Georgia,Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The is in Georgia, President Trump got 940K to 140K, an 800K more than 2012 President Obama. In Pennsylvania, President Trump broke the 1 million vote, where President Obama got 616K, a 400K difference. In Wisconsin, 617K for President Trump and 294K President Obama got in 2012. Final suprise, North Carolina, President Trump got 16K less votes than President Obama, with 766K for and 750K.
Most of these numbers for President Trump were better than his 2016 performance. For example, he almost doubled his numbers in Wisconsin and Georgia. President Trump improved his numbers by 200K in Pennsylvania, 600K in California, 300K increase in North Carolina. Being an incumbent President, the general
These improvements reflect the trend of over all general election results where he gained 10 Million votes from 2016 to 2020. But in these states, in the general elections, it was a close race.
The next comparison needs be in the total number of counties won by Vice President Biden vs President Trump in the general election to see if there is a difference between President Obama and Vice President Joe Biden's performance.
In 2008, V. P Biden, along with Mrs. Clinton and President Obama were in the competing in the same race. V.P Biden was not as popular as President Obama or Mrs. Clinton because he was the first to drop off when compared to this. President Obama was a popular but in 2012 he was not as popular as 2008. V.P Biden has to exceed President Obama's 2008 and it appears he has done it (though they are claims by President Trump of voter fraud).
Main Stream Media and other left leaning pundits did not perform these comparisons or take into account the enthusiasm for President Trump. This could have been the undoing of these groups of prognosticators again. Listening to this group majority of the Democrat Party again were caught by suprise on election night on how close the election was actually like in Michigan, Wisconsin or how certain states like Florida, Texas played out as they were not in play at all. Not only were the leadership of the Democrat Party a prey to this, believed it totally, based on how they campaigned in the last days of the elections and spent their money. About the people who vote Democrat party, only time will tell will they continue to believe these polling again after the loss in 2016, the non arrival of Blue wave in 2018 and 2020.